Host Jesse Palmer, Judges Nancy Fuller, Duff Goldman and Kardea Brown, portrait, as seen on Holiday Baking Championship, Season 12.
Warner Bros. Discovery

Who Could Win ‘Holiday Baking Championship’ 2025?

The holiday season on Food Network is underway, and “Holiday Baking Championship” has returned with a new group of bakers, new challenges, and a fresh team format that has fans debating who might claim the 2025 title. Food Network airs the series on Mondays at 8 p.m. Eastern, and episodes are available to stream on Max and Discovery Plus, according to the network.

The twelfth season features 12 bakers who are competing for the Holiday Baking Champion title and a $25,000 prize. Judges Duff Goldman, Nancy Fuller, and Kardea Brown evaluate each round, and host Jesse Palmer guides the contestants through weekly challenges filled with festive themes and time pressure.

Food Network introduced a new twist for this season. The bakers are divided into Team Naughty and Team Nice. Although each baker competes individually, the teams face collective consequences. If a team performs poorly, a member of that group is eliminated. The structure has added strategy and stress, which could change how the front-runners advance through the season.


Strong Contenders Emerge

Several contestants have already captured viewers’ attention. Parade reported that Nico Alkalay of Team Naughty has shown strong potential with bold flavor choices and ambitious designs. His willingness to take risks sets him apart early in the season, and his creativity may give him an edge as the competition evolves.

Jean Carlos of Team Nice has also emerged as a favorite. Parade noted that his style leans toward comforting holiday flavors and clean, reliable execution. Judges often reward consistency, which positions him well for the later rounds.

Parade also highlighted Tarek Husseini of Team Naughty as a possible underdog. Although he has faced difficult moments, he continues to improve. His progress suggests that he could surprise both viewers and judges if he delivers strong performances in upcoming challenges.


What Will Shape the Finale

The team-based format increases the season’s unpredictability. A baker can deliver a strong dessert but still land in danger if their teammates struggle. This twist requires contestants to balance creativity with caution and approach each challenge with a strategic mindset.

Food Network outlines the final challenge as a showcase of technique, flavor, and presentation. The winner often demonstrates both originality and precision while keeping holiday themes at the forefront. Bakers who thrive under pressure and manage their time well typically perform strongest in the finale.

Adaptability will continue to play a major role. Contestants who adjust quickly to surprise tasks and maintain composure in fast-moving rounds tend to stand out, especially as the judging stakes rise.


Who Has the Edge?

Based on early episodes, Nico appears to have the momentum to win. His bold style and inventive desserts give him the potential to create finale-worthy bakes. Jean Carlos remains a strong contender for viewers who believe consistency wins championships. Tarek could become the season’s surprise finalist if he maintains his upward trajectory.

The finale will air on Food Network on Dec. 22, and fans can follow every challenge live on Mondays or stream episodes afterward.

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