New betting odds are offering fresh insight into how “The Traitors” season 4 could unfold as the competition heads into episodes 4 and 5. Updated lines project, which contestant is most likely to be murdered next, who could face the next banishment at the roundtable, and which players currently lead the race to win the season.
‘The Traitors’ Murder Odds Favor Caroline Stanbury
Updated odds from Vegas Insider list Caroline Stanbury as the most likely contestant to be murdered next by the Traitors. Stanbury is currently listed at -120, implying a 55% probability. “Top Chef” winner and host Kristen Kish follows with +200 odds, an implied probability of 33%.
A spokesperson explained why Stanbury could be the top target. “Looking ahead to the next traitor victim, Caroline Stanbury has the highest odds of getting murdered by The Traitors,” the spokesperson said. “Removing a housewife would be a strategic play to pull attention away from the traitors themselves, making her the top target by the numbers.”
They added that Kish poses a threat because of her awareness. “Kristen Kish follows closely with the second highest odds of murder – her intelligence and awareness pose a real threat, and if left too long, she could connect the dots the traitors are hoping stay scattered,” they said.
Other contestants with murder odds: Eric Nam (+550) and Ron Funches (+3000).
The Next Banishment Odds Put Ron Funches in the Hot Seat
The updated banishment odds point to Ron Funches as the most likely player to be banished next, with +185 odds (35% implied probability). Michael Rapaport and “Big Brother” winner Tiffany Mitchell are tied behind him at +400 odds each (20% implied probability).
The spokesperson linked Funches’ odds to ongoing conversations in the castle.
“As the next banishment looms, the spotlight is burning hottest on Ron Funches – Colton and Natalie have openly discussed that if Dona is revealed as a traitor, Ron becomes the next logical name to target, especially given how little trust he’s managed to build across the house,” they said.
They also pointed to Rapaport as a potential candidate for banishment.
“Michael Rapaport isn’t far behind in the odds of banishment, with loud opinions and behavior that many view as classically traitorous,” the spokesperson said.
Mitchell’s odds have risen as well. “Tiffany Mitchell sits third in line to get banished, her odds rising after her suspicious pairing with Michael during a mission raised eyebrows and put her gameplay under closer scrutiny,” the spokesperson said.
Other names in the banishment odds include Yamil “Yam Yam” Arocho (+500), Lisa Rinna (+900), and “Anyone Else” (+3000).
‘The Traitors’ Season 4 Winner Odds Make Rob Rausch the Favorite
As the season continues, Rob Rausch has emerged as the current favorite to win “The Traitors” season 4. Rausch is listed at +120 (45% implied probability). Natalie Anderson follows at +270 (27%), with Maura Higgins at +550 (15%).
A spokesperson explained the reasoning behind Rausch’s current frontrunner position.
“When it comes to the winner odds, Rob Rausch is now the favorite to win the 4th season of The Traitors; he has been quietly directing the game from the shadows by subtly influencing the traitors’ decisions while steering suspicion elsewhere and methodically eliminating strong gamers, his most dangerous competition,” they said.
They added that Anderson and Higgins remain strong contenders.
“Natalie Anderson remains close behind, consistently embedded in the most important conversations and already solidifying key alliances, with
Maura Higgins is following as a serious contender as well,” the spokesperson said.
“Both women are deeply connected socially, seemingly well-positioned within the house’s power structure, and increasingly difficult to ignore as the game takes shape.”
Other contestants listed among the winner odds include Monét X Change (+900), Candiace Dillard Bassett (+900), and “Anyone Else” (+3000).
Episodes 4 and 5 of “The Traitors” season 4 drop Thursday, January 15, on Peacock.



