Only two episodes remain until Jeff Probst announces the winner of “Survivor 50: In the Hands of the Fans” during the milestone season’s live finale on Wednesday, May 20.
During tonight’s (May 13) penultimate episode, at least one more castaway will be voted out of the competition, joining the ever-growing jury and clearing the way for the remaining players to duke it out in next week’s epic three hour finale episode in hopes of taking home $2 million and the coveted title of “Sole Survivor.”
Curious to know which of the season’s seven remaining players are rumored to be eliminated tonight? We’ve got all the information right here, but be warned, this post will contain major spoilers for Episode 12 of “Survivor 50,” titled “Inconceivable,” which is set to hit CBS screens nationwide at 8:00pm ET.
Who’s Left on ‘Survivor 50’?
At present there are seven remaining castaways on “Survivor 50”:
- Cirie Fields (“Panama” – “Micronesia” – “Heroes vs. Villains” – “Game Changers”)
- Aubry Bracco (“”Kaoh Rong” – “Game Changers” – “Edge of Extinction”)
- Rick Devens (“Edge of Extinction”)
- Jonathan Young (“42”)
- Tiffany Nicole Ervin (“46”)
- Joe Hunter (“48”)
- Rizo Velovic (“49”)
Every one of them – barring Tiffany – knows what it’s like to see themselves in a “Survivor” finale episode, having made it all the way to the end of the competition during one of their previous appearances. Conversely, only Aubry and Joe know what it feels like to actually plead their case to the jury during Final Tribal Council, having made it all the way to the Final Three on “Kaoh Rong” and “Survivor 48,” respectively.
Who’s Going Home on Episode 12 of ‘Survivor 50’ Tonight?
According to a Kalshi market predicting the outcome of tonight’s forthcoming penultimate episode of “Survivor 50,” the castaway getting their torch snuffed by Jeff Probst will be… Rick Devens and Cirie Fields.
CBSIf you saw our Episode 11 elimination spoilers, you’ll know that Kalshi inaccurately predicted both Rick and Cirie’s eliminations last week, with the market seeing major shifts in the hours before the episode aired as Kalshi users scrambled to switch their bets to Ozzy Lusth and Emily Flippen.
Despite last week’s discrepancy, the online betting market, which only recently began offering users the ability to gamble real money on reality TV shows like “Survivor,” has accurately predicted the majority of Season 50’s eliminations, including unforeseeable double and triple-elimination events like the “Blood Moon” and “Double Duos” twists.
While the market shifted wildly ahead of Episode 11, it’s been much more stable in the run-up to tonight’s 12th installment, with Rick and Cirie holding steady at 90 percent and 87 percent chances of being voted out, respectively.
By comparison, the player with the third highest predicted likelihood of going home, Tiffany Nicole Ervin, currently sits at just seven percent.
You can read more about why fans have been relying on Kalshi for “Survivor” spoilers all season long here.
What Will Happen on Episode 12 of ‘Survivor 50’?
“This week’s immunity challenge is riddled with frustration, putting slow and steady gameplay to the test. As the race to $2 million draws closer, idols and advantages come to the forefront. Then, a self-proclaimed ‘rat’ at the Manuvelu camp spills information in hopes of leading to personal triumph,” reads the official CBS description of “Survivor 50” Episode 12, titled “Inconceivable.”
We already know from the “Next Time on Survivor” clip that aired following last week’s installment, that tonight’s episode will witness the Final Seven castaways lock in on major targets as they race towards the finale.
In the 30-second sneak peek, Tiffany reminds viewers that Rizo Velovic still has an Immunity Idol. With both Ozzy’s Idol and Cirie’s Extra Vote advantage getting flushed during last week’s split Tribal Council ceremony, Rizo’s Idol stands out as the only remaining advantage in the game.
CBSIt seems unlikely that “Rizgod” will be able to maintain the power through to the finale, especially when he still has to contend with facing Cirie after he contributed to blindsiding her number one ally, Ozzy, out of the game.
While Rizo is certainly in danger heading into tonight’s episode, the “NTOS” clip similarly witnesses Joe Hunter labelling Tiffany as the “most dangerous” player in the game. Meanwhile, Jonathan Young sets his sights on blindsiding Aubry Bracco, who he sees as a “snake.”
The so-called “rat” mentioned in the episode description is similarly brought up in the clip during a conversation between Cirie and Jonathan, where Cirie tells the Season 42 finalist, “You got a rat. I know everything.” It remains unclear exactly who Cirie is referring to, however.
Who Will Win Tonight’s Immunity Challenge on ‘Survivor 50’?
We also know from first look photos of tonight’s episode that the castaways will compete in the “A Bit Tipsy” Immunity challenge, where they’ll be challenged to stack blocks spelling out the word “Immunity” upon a precarious perch attached to a length of rope.
Every remaining player, once again barring Tiffany, has competed in the challenge at least once before, with Joe actually winning it during his time on “Survivor 48.”
CBSGiven the nature of this week’s elimination spoilers, it seems clear that neither Cirie nor Devens will walk away from the challenge with the Immunity necklace in their possession. Rizo’s performances in challenges both during Season 49 and 50 also make him an unlikely victor, meaning that Immunity will most likely be awarded to Aubry, Joe, Jonathan or Tiffany.
New Fan-Voting Category to Be Announced During Episode 12
We also know that “Survivor” will announce an all-new fan vote during tonight’s installment.
In a recent interview with TV Insider, Jeff Probst revealed that “there is one very fun final fan vote that will be announced during the penultimate episode, the week before the finale and the results will be revealed at the live finale.”
CBSWhile some fans have speculated that the final “In the Hands of the Fans” vote will be some sort of “Fan Favorite” award, similar to the “Sia Prize” or the “Sprint Player of the Season” award from past seasons, others have predicted that the voting category hints at another “Second Chance” season.
You can read more about the “Second Chance” theory and Probst’s confirmation that another returning-player season is coming “sooner rather than later” right here.
Cirie & Devens’ Exits Leave ‘New Era’ Majority Heading Into Finale
CBSIf Kalshi’s predictions prove correct, the Final Five of “Survivor 50” will be: Aubry Bracco, Jonathan Young, Tiffany Nicole Ervin, Joe Hunter and Rizo Velovic.
Of the quintet, Aubry is the only remaining castaway to have made her “Survivor” debut prior to Season 41, with the remaining four castaways all making their first series appearances during the so-called “New Era.”
That being said, the majority of the ever-expanding jury will be old-school players, especially if Cirie and Devens join their ranks.
At present, the “Survivor 50” jury consists of Dee Valladares, Chrissy Hofbeck, Benjamin “Coach” Wade, Christian Hubicki, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, Emily Flippen and Ozzy Lusth, with only Emily and Dee coming from “New Era” seasons.
As such, if Aubry manages to once again secure a seat at Final Tribal Council, her “old school” affiliation may be enough to earn her the votes of most of the jury, potentially earning her a $2 million payday and the title of “Sole Survivor” that has eluded her during her three previous appearances on the series.
Be sure to tune in to Episode 12 of “Survivor 50” this Wednesday, May 13 at 8:00pm ET, exclusively on CBS, to see if Kalshi’s double-elimination prediction proves correct. New episodes of the “In the Hands of the Fans” season are similarly available to stream on Paramount+ the day after they air on CBS.
