“The Traitors” season 4 is officially in chaos mode — and episode 6 looks like it could be a turning point.
Episodes 4 and 5, released Thursday, January 15, ended two more players’ runs at the castle and left just 15 contestants still fighting for the prize pot. The biggest issue for the Faithfuls: the last two eliminations were Faithfuls, meaning three Traitors remain in the game. With episode 6 set to end two more journeys, the pressure is building fast — and the group is running out of time to stop the Traitors from taking control.
Below is a breakdown of the biggest danger zones heading into episode 6, plus updated betting odds for the next banishment and the overall season winner.
The Latest Banishment Predictions: Colton Underwood and Ron Funches Are Under Pressure
Some players are headed into episode 6 with clear targets on their backs — and much of that comes from how the last roundtables played out.
Colton Underwood and Ron Funches have both been floated as possible banishment options after these “leaders” led to two Faithfuls being banished in a row.
The energy has shifted from “Who’s lying?” to “Who’s steering us wrong?” — which is often when the Faithfuls start cutting people they no longer trust, even if there isn’t solid proof they’re Traitors.
Episode 6 Murder Predictions: Natalie Anderson Could Be the Biggest Threat
While the banishment conversation is happening in plain sight, the Traitors’ murder decision is much harder to predict — because it depends entirely on motive.
If the Traitors want to eliminate someone dangerous, “Survivor” legend Natalie Anderson makes the most sense. She has played a strong Faithful game and has looked locked-in socially and strategically. Taking her out would weaken the Faithfuls in a major way.
But the Traitors could also play a different card: chaos. If they want confusion instead of strategy, they could kill someone more random — and that’s where names like Maura Higgins and Johnny Weir start to feel vulnerable. A surprising choice can make everyone second-guess their reads and send the next roundtable spiraling.
‘The Traitors’ Season 4 Episode 6 Odds: Lisa Rinna Leads Next Banishment Betting
Ahead of episode 6, VegasInsider.com updated its odds for the next banishment — and Lisa Rinna currently sits in the hottest seat.
VegasInsider lists Rinna as the most likely to be banished next at +120 (45% implied probability). Colton follows at +185 (35%), and Ron lands at +400 (20%).
“With the Traitors’ murder sights seemingly set on Colton, the key variable is whether he holds a shield,” a VegasInsider.com spokesperson said. “If he survives, the game will likely pivot to a direct showdown between Colton and Lisa Rinna at the next round table.”
The spokesperson added that Colton has “been quietly building momentum against Rinna,” while also facing his own scrutiny after “having pushed for eliminating two Faithfuls in a row.”
‘The Traitors’ Winner Odds Update: Rob Rausch Still Favored
When it comes to who could win it all, one name is still dominating the board.
VegasInsider lists Rob Rausch as the favorite at +100 (50%), followed by Natalie at +200 (33%). Maura Higgins and Candiace Dillard Bassett are tied for third at +550 (15%).
“The top two favorites remain unchanged, with their odds shortening; Rob continues to dominate as a Traitor, while Natalie has been nearly flawless as a Faithful,” the spokesperson said. “Still, Rob stands alone as the clear No. 1 favorite to win the series with odds of +100.”
With episode 6 set to eliminate two more players, the next decisions — banishment and murder — could reshape the game overnight.
New episodes of “The Traitors” season 4 air Thursday nights on Peacock.
